Mike,
Thanks for the reply. I thought your second paragraph was a good start, but the following paragraphs more or less emphasized the usefulness of GD as a predictor of TMRCA for the general population (My emphasis). That is, the population that is blessed with average or near average mutation rates.
I don't disagree with your comments at all, but I see it, the issue alluded to in this thread and, especially by Vinnie
Thanks for the reply. I thought your second paragraph was a good start, but the following paragraphs more or less emphasized the usefulness of GD as a predictor of TMRCA for the general population (My emphasis). That is, the population that is blessed with average or near average mutation rates.
Originally posted by Mike
The key words here are "probability" and "average." Both these words indicate that not every paternal line has the exact same mutation rate, but most have a mutation rate close to the average rate. Some have a much lower mutation rate and others have a much higher rate. But those at the extremes of the range of mutation rates are relatively rare. Think of the shape of a bell curve to illustrate how this works.
The key words here are "probability" and "average." Both these words indicate that not every paternal line has the exact same mutation rate, but most have a mutation rate close to the average rate. Some have a much lower mutation rate and others have a much higher rate. But those at the extremes of the range of mutation rates are relatively rare. Think of the shape of a bell curve to illustrate how this works.
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